CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS HAVE INCREASED DESPITE A PREDICTED FALL
It is early days, but their is no indication that the current lock down of the world’s economies have resulted in a reduction of global carbon dioxide concentrations, in fact, after only eleven days into May (at 417.16 ppm) they have increased by one part per million above the April average of (416.18 ppm). If this rate was to continue it would exceed the average annual increase rate by a very wide margin.
The anticipated drop in global emissions, as a result of closure of industry, transportation and commerce, has not eventuated and if the trend continues it will be a major blow to theory of carbon dioxide, a trace gas, having any impact on the world’s climate. Carbon dioxide concentrations were approaching last year’s peak at about 415 parts per million on 24 March 2020 with big daily swings. If sustained, that is already in line with the record high, judged as a monthly average, of 414.7 ppm for the May 2019. The warming in the period between 1910 to 1944 was of a similar scale to the warming periods in recent years. The UN and IPCC told us that this earlier warming was entirely due to natural climate variability rather than human influence because CO2 levels
at that time were too low. This invites the question, why shouldn’t the warming in recent decades also have been due to the same natural climate variability, rather than just man-made CO2?? Many will recall the period from the early forties through to 1979 when a slight cooling (-0.20 C) had occurred. The difficulty for the UN and IPCC was to explain the lack of warming that should have accompanied the increasing emissions. “The missing heat was not apparent because it went into the bowels of ocean”.
97% of carbon dioxide is created by all the natural sources in nature. Flora doesn’t care where the carbon dioxide comes from in their Respiration of Photosynthesis.
So although the narrative has been that increases of carbon dioxide are causing warming, humans only contribute a small fraction of the Carbon Dioxide by Fossil Fuels as all of Nature where biomass increases biomass constantly increases Carbon Dioxide by 97% of every 2 ppm yearly increase since Mauna Loa Observatory was measuring it. Our 3% contributions is then only responsible for 3% of any increased Warming that has been reported. Even if you argue that since the Modern Industrial Age that 3% adds up every year…you have to include the 97% that increases every year too. So again…to say that Humans are causing Global Warming and Climate Change is a dishonest and twisting the facts to support the narrative.
770,000 Million Metric Tons of natural occurring carbon dioxide compared to 23,100 Man Made out of a total of 793,100 is just 3% attributable to man’s activities, a proportion which has remained constant in recent years, which really means if we want to stop the gradual warming of the planet we must reduce the naturally occurring CO2, which is not possible. The recent increase suggests that closing down industry won’t reduce emissions, so if CO2 is the key driver of global warming then our only option is to adapt. Reducing the world’s air pollution and burgeoning population growth are the REAL issues that the UN/IPCC should be addressing if they are serious about the environment.