WORST AHEAD GOVT MODELLING PREDICTS

 

 

Victorians face weeks of higher coronavirus infections, with average daily cases to peak at 1100 by the end of next week and staying above 1000 for eight days.

The Victorian government’s own estimates, obtained by The Australian Newspaper on August 6th, show the average number of new cases is not ­expected to decline until the last week of August. It will remain above 300 a day even as the restrictive stage-four lockdown is scheduled to end in mid-September.

Judith Wilson, Ex Nursing Sister, told Coherence that in her opinion the only way to combat the virus is to isolate the vulnerable the aged and those with weakened immune systems, due to pre-existing health issues, and let the economy with minimal restrictions, roll along.

The Swedish plan has been successful in achieving a Herd Immunity situation by practically removing the virus from the population but have failed, by their own admission, to adequately protect the vulnerable.

Victoria recorded its highest number of COVID-19 cases and fatalities on Wednesday — 725 new infections and 15 deaths, ­including a man in his 30s who ­became the youngest person in Australia to succumb to the ­coronavirus. There are now 7227 active COVID-19 cases in the state, with 2280 having no known source and thousands more ­remaining under investigation by the Health Department.

Public health officials hope the tough new six-week lockdown, including an 8pm curfew and limiting people to 5km around their home, will mean case numbers “decline quite rapidly”.

Deputy Chief Medical Officer Michael Kidd said: “What we’re seeing happening in Victoria is based on the world’s best evidence about responding to pandemics, about bringing outbreaks like this under control. And what works is keeping people in their homes, keeping people away from other people, and preventing the transmission from one community member to another.

3 Comments

  1. Wayne says:

    If we knew in advance it might be different but the time lag between infection and the detection of the virus gives it a head start. By the time isolation measures are put in place it could be widespread within the population.

  2. Lyall Gibb says:

    According to the Modelling we should have around 800 new cases this time next week. They did not specify whether current restrictions were taken into account.

  3. Robin says:

    How long can we live in lock down before businesses, throughout Melbourne, go broke?

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