June 30, 1989

UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of eco-refugees, threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.

He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.

No Sea Level Change in Maldives Since 1989

As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.

Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.

Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life.

Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?? he said. UNEP estimates it would cost the United States at least $100 billion to protect its east coast alone.

Shifting climate patterns would bring back 1930s Dust Bowl conditions to Canadian and U.S. wheat lands, while the Soviet Union could reap bumper crops if it adapts its agriculture in time, according to a study by UNEP and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

Excess carbon dioxide is pouring into the atmosphere because of humanity’s use of fossil fuels and burning of rain forests, the study says. The atmosphere is retaining more heat than it radiates, much like a greenhouse.

The most conservative scientific estimate that the Earth’s temperature will rise 1 to 7 degrees in the next 30 years, said Brown.

The difference may seem slight, he said, but the planet is only 9 degrees warmer now than during the 8,000-year Ice Age that ended 10,000 years ago.

Brown said if the warming trend continues, the question is will we be able to reverse the process in time? We say that within the next 10 years, given the present loads that the atmosphere has to bear, we have an opportunity to start the stabilizing process.

He said even the most conservative scientists already tell us there’s nothing we can do now to stop a … change of about 3 degrees.

Anything beyond that, and we have to start thinking about the significant rise of the sea levels … we can expect more ferocious storms, hurricanes, wind shear, dust erosion.

He said there is time to act, but there is no time to waste.

UNEP is working toward forming a scientific plan of action by the end of 1990, and the adoption of a global climate treaty by 1992. In May, delegates from 103 nations met in Nairobi, Kenya – where UNEP is based – and decided to open negotiations on the treaty next year.

Nations will be asked to reduce the use of fossil fuels, cut the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases such as methane and fluorocarbons, and preserve the rain forests.

We have no clear idea about the ecological minimum of green space that the planet needs to function effectively. What we do know is that we are destroying the tropical rain forest at the rate of 50 acres a minute, about one football field per second, said Brown.

Each acre of rain forest can store 100 tons of carbon dioxide and reprocess it into oxygen.

Brown suggested that compensating Brazil, Indonesia and Kenya for preserving rain forests may be necessary.

The European Community is talking about a half-cent levy on each kilowatt- hour of fossil fuels to raise $55 million a year to protect the rain forests, and other direct subsidies may be possible, he said.

The treaty could also call for improved energy efficiency, increasing conservation, and for developed nations to transfer technology to Third World nations to help them save energy and cut greenhouse gas emissions, said Brown. (END)

No warming Trend in 100 years

All very frightening of course but was it true? NO, just another scare tactic on the part of the UN.
We were able to locate an article in the New York Times which showed the there had been no warming trend in the United States for more than 100 years.
 Despite the UN’s policy of not publishing actual year by year temperatures during this early period, the chart does  illustrate an average temperature of approximately 53.5 Fahrenheit (11.94 C) over the century. These low readings must have been a problem for the IPCC since it did not accord with Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick data.
The global temperature in 2019, according to the latest data from NOAA was 58.72 Fahrenheit (14.85 Celsius).
I have read where they argue that this data does not include both sea surface land temperatures when calculating the annual average temperature but the lack of a warming trend would still be apparent if they were included.

The study, made by scientists for the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration was published in the current issue of Geophysical Research letters. It was based on temperature and precipitation readings taken at weather stations around the country from 1895 to 1987.

1 Comment

  1. Anonyme says:

    The US had a greater concentration of thermometers than any other country throughout the 1980’s in addition their industries were well ahead of Europe in automobile manufacturing etc.. so their CO2 emissions would have been higher. These lower temperatures were a problem for NOAA whose own data showed temperatures averaging lower than 53.5 F.

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