AUSTRALIAN TEMPERATURE JUMBLE

We chose two temperature monitoring agencies, Trading Economics/World Bank and Statista who had been publishing average Australian temperatures and compared their data in the period between 2012-2020 with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). It was a different story with the BoM, who, in 2019, posted an average annual temperature of 23.33 degrees Celsius which exceeded Trade Economics 22.80 Celsius for 2019 by 0.53 degrees Celsius. The second graph below compares data from all three back to 2012. BoM archived data can be accessed by typing Australian annual temperature and the year. In the long-term, the Australia Average Temperature is projected to trend around 22.17 degrees Celsius in 2023, according to their trade economic models, that forecast a difference of 0.42 degrees Celsius over the 12 year period 2012-2022, from 21.75 in 2012 to 22.17 degrees Celsius in 2023.

There is no consistency with the margin of difference between the two and that of BoM whose temperatures are always higher and the margins differ in a manner which suggests their was no set methodology in their measuring technique..                                                                             

This follows an average of 22.06 degrees Celsius for the year 2021 compared to a warmer 22.37 degrees posted by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) a difference of 0.31 degrees Celsius. Source of information: World Bank. In the long-term, the Australia Average Temperature is projected to trend around 22.17 degrees Celsius in 2023, according to their econometric models.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) have recorded a temperature of 22.96 degrees Celsius for 2020 which exceeds the 22.57 degrees Celsius by 0.39 degrees Celsius as posted by the trade economics/world bank. BoM was also warmer than Statista, another temperature monitoring authority, who pegged the 2020 Australian temperature at 22.65, 0.31 degrees Celsius cooler than BoM.

Back in the Nineties the moral in the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) had deteriorated due to a cut back in Govt funding, with many of its senior employees being encouraged to retire. We know this from a friend who was employed there who told us they were making it hard for some of their workers by moving them to country areas, e.g. Long hours of driving from where they live, where the employee would have to seek accommodation on week days to avoid the stress of driving. Even without that there had always been an element of laziness that had crept in where a lot of weather stations data were recorded by estimation rather than attending to read the data.

12 Comments

  1. John Swain says:

    There is nothing left for us to say or do now that they have the opposition parties on side except to say that we had told them so and they refused to listen because they were more concerned with their re-election prospects. A day of reckoning will eventually come and when it does it will be brutal

  2. John Stanford says:

    While the well funded weather bureau is staffed by experts equipped with the latest marvelous computers they repeatedly demonstrate their inability to accurately predict the weather one week hence, millions of people are prepared to stake their future on weather predictions decades in the future and even as distant as the year 2100! Are the Australian people being manipulated by honorable people who seek to save mankind or are the Australian people being exploited by self-seeking bad people at the United Nations? As a seventh generation Australia I fear that gullible people are prepared to virtue signal by handing over their country to United Nations globalists.

  3. Ian Willison says:

    The BoM have announced that 2021 was the 19th warmest year on record and the coolest year since 2012. Maybe they are preparing us for the disappointment that the world is not warming after all.

  4. Jim Rogers says:

    I agree there is no consistency in the margin of difference between the two except that BoM temperatures are always higher and the margins can differ in a manner which suggests their was no set methodology in their measuring technique. CORRECT: Unlike the reasonably consistent margins between Statista and Trade economics.This an issue that should be, but won’t be, investigated because there is to much at stake.

  5. Angela Garby says:

    For those who are interested in making comparisons, the two monitoring agencies Trading Economics and Statista are both well respected. I have compared their data and find an average difference between them of only 0.08 C in their annual reports as distinct from the BoM who appear to have exaggerated temperatures particularly in the last three years by an average of nearly 0.40 C degrees warmer in 2018, 2019 and 2020 than Trading Economics.

  6. Anonyme says:

    If they can’t match the temperatures using three different agencies how can we be confident that they can measure the temperature of the world. The BoM is a joke everyone knows that

  7. Noel Carter says:

    There is not much evidence to support the climate emergency declared by the Manningham Council if you examine the BoM temperature record for Australia. Not only was 20.21 Celsius for 2021 the lowest since temperature since 2012 but also number nineteen in the order of Australia’s warmest years.

  8. James Arthur says:

    If Manningham Council wants to go electric for the sake of the environment then its should not allow the use of plastic in its EVs. To give you a concrete example in numbers: an average modern car weighing 1,500 kg contains about 20% of plastic materials (considering thermoplastics and elastomers). This means 300 kg distributed over 2,000 parts and components of all shapes and sizes.
    There is more plastic in the oceans than wildlife. In fact, plastic outnumbers sea life by six pieces for every one animal. Furthermore 90% of the pollution floating in the ocean is plastic which accounts for 46,000 pieces of plastic in every single square mile.

  9. Less says:

    What extent of temperature change, within what period, is required to define or justify a local or even global emergency?
    Is there a measure that these organisations agree upon?

  10. David Willison says:

    It is no coincidence that both the BoM and the CSIRO are not “up front” with the the average temperature for the period between 1961-1991, the baseline on which to calculate annual temperatures. I finally discovered that it was 21.81 degrees Celsius from which you can add to the anomaly and work out temperature.

    1. J Strong says:

      “Climate risks already impacting Melbourne and Manningham and likely to worsen over the long team include the following: extreme weather including heatwaves, bushfire, storms, wind, hail and flooding increased average temperature”.
      It is sinply not true

      Bushfires in Victoria 1851 Black Thursday
      Source: Melbourne Herald February 1883 The Black Thursday of Port Phillip by Garryowen, An Eye – Witness
      The largest Australian bushfire in European-recorded history that burnt an area of approximately 5 million ha. which covered a quarter of Victoria.
      Source: 1301.0 – Year Book Australia, 2004

  11. Talford says:

    NOAA lists 2016 as the world’s warmest year but according to BoM’s own records at least six out of its last nine years were warmer. We know that the earth’s temperature should be different to that of the world because it is closer to the equator but the same warming trend should be reflected in its data…. but it does not.

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