EXPERT REDUCES WARMING IN 1998
Global temperature reporting had got out of hand when British and US authorities began reporting global temperatures at least two 2 degrees Fahrenheit more than the WMO in 1997. It was left to Phil Jones, head Climatologist at CRU East Anglia, who had already posted high temperatures in the 80’s and 90’s, and also a senior contributor to Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick data, to restore some sort of order where similar temperatures could be announced jointly. The Hockey Stick crew had already run into trouble when the two tree ring temperatures sets ran in two different directions, one that showed warming and the other a great deal of cooling. According to critics is was overcome by concealing the offending data. The link below will show how Phil Jones was able to broker an agreement between all the senior climate monitoring authorities, including NOAA who had posted values as high as 62.45, to agree on an annual global temperature of 58 degrees..one degree Fahrenheit above a baseline reference of 57 F which was also posted in the Hockey Stick data. It was a great effort by Phil Jones to bring all these parties together at such a critical time and keep the global warming theory alive. https://www.nytimes.com/1998/12/18/us/earth-temperature-in-1998-is-reported-at-record-high.html
IPCC PREDICTION IN 1990
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE.
Based on current model results, we predict: • under the IPCC Business-as-Usual (Scenario A) emissions of greenhouse gases, a rate of increase of global mean temperature during the next century of about 0 3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0 2°C to 0 5°C per decade), this is greater than that seen over the past 10,000 years This will result in a likely increase in global mean temperature of about 1°C above the present value by 2025 and VC before the end of the next century. The rise will not be steady because of the influence of other factors.
THE FACTS.
The NOAA 1990 average global temperature was 14.34 degrees Celsius (57.81 F) which means the most likely scenario according to the IPCC prediction with an increase of 1 Celsius would amount to a global temperature of 15.34 C (59.61 F) by 2025.
However, for more than nine years, between 1988 to 1997, NOAA, NASA, CRU East Anglia and British Met Office had published temperatures that already exceeded the IPPC prediction for 2025. It would appear that the higher temperatures posted by NASA, British Met Office and CRU East Anglia, that averaged approximately 15.50 C had to be lowered by one degree Celsius, otherwise it would already have exceed the 15.34 C by as early as 1988..
1 Comment
People have to realize that measuring temperatures have improved out of sight since the 80’s and 90’s which was the state of the art at that time but like all science we have moved forward with technology as we will in the future.